Macro Shots – No Consolidation + Tax Cuts = Unsustainable US Fiscal Path
No consolidation US federal government fiscal deficit was 6.4% of GDP in year ending September 2024, much higher than pre-pandemic […]
No consolidation US federal government fiscal deficit was 6.4% of GDP in year ending September 2024, much higher than pre-pandemic […]
Indian bonds have had a very good run over the past few months with RBI’s proactive liquidity infusion playing a
Will higher import tariffs meaningfully increase fiscal revenue? Estimates of the latter will vary depending on the moderation in
In our previous note, we discussed whether businesses or consumers will take the hit from higher tariffs? Who absorbs the
75% of firms, in a recent regional survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, anticipate selling prices to go
In our previous edition, we mentioned the possibility of a weaker Fed ‘put’ in the US. Why? Pandemic-driven high inflation
RBI continued with its recent habit of springing positive surprises on the market by announcing an almost completely unexpected INR
US treasury yield and the USD, typically positively correlated, have diverged sharply since the tariff tantrum (announcement, pause, escalation with
The MPC cut repo rate by 25 bps to 6% and changed policy stance to ‘accommodative’, in an unequivocally dovish
RBI announced big new measures yesterday to shore up liquidity. These include INR 1 lakh crores of OMO purchases over