Optimizing Constraints: Union Budget FY 26
Over the past few months, we have spoken about the need for constraint optimization from public macro policy. The constraint […]
Over the past few months, we have spoken about the need for constraint optimization from public macro policy. The constraint […]
We had recently discussed constraints (US exceptionalism, chiefly) and the need for their optimization (especially given the cumulative output gap
Backdrop The US exceptionalism narrative continues to go from strength to strength with Trump related expectations converging with continued strong
The Fed delivered a ‘hawkish’ cut yesterday, signaling that a phase of recalibration of rates was effectively over. The context
The year is about to pass, and we embark upon the customary year-end. The title we have picked this time
The MPC kept repo rate unchanged (4:2 majority) and persisted with the neutral stance, while the RBI cut CRR by
The US election verdict is conventionally thought of as implying even higher fiscal deficit via tax cuts, higher tariffs leading
The MPC changed stance to neutral in line with our expectation (https://bandhanmutual.com/article/17416 ). The accompanying commentary, while acknowledging better balance on
The bond story continues to run strongly. Locally, the budget gave final proof of policy continuity and commitment to fiscal
The monetary policy review was largely around expected lines with both rates and stance kept unchanged with a majority of